If after the cycle has peaked the European debt situation worsens, investors will likely move very quickly back into the safe haven investment vehicles, which includes gold. Following the peak of the previous 6-year cycle in 2005 gold and the gold ETFs experienced a strong rally in the last couple of months that year and into the following year (see chart below).
http://www.financialsense.com/contributors/clif-droke/2011/09/19/another-round-of-consumer-price-increases-on-the-way
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