Senin, 04 April 2011

Watch the cycles fade,,,, continued

I don't want to short change the DPO tool.  I have not examined its potential fully.  We should be able to take the points shown as detrended and calculate the amplitude of a cycle.  If I have cycles nesting (topping/bottoming together) and add up the detrended points I should be able to estimate the top or bottom point.  Now I have not back tested this and it is a theory only. 

Let me show you what I mean:

From this you see we are at or near an estimated top (may have already seen the top).   Also, the estimated top (subject to change) in late May should be a lower top by 10-15 points.  If you have the time and desire to play with this maybe we can maximize the use and benefit of this tool.  I would welcome the help and feedback. 

GL traders

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